Overview
Key figures and core demographic trends for Serbia.
Population
6.5M
Fertility Rate
1.64
Life Expectancy
76.0y
GDP / capita
$15.3K
Pop. Growth
-0.57%
Net Migration
-13.1K
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Open the source table · Serbia MICS
More about the figure
Total fertility rate for the year before each Serbia MICS, from the nationally representative sample and the separate sample of Roma households living in Roma settlements. Survey TFRs can differ from registered births: for 2025 the official vital-statistics TFR is 1.62, against 1.44 in the survey. Replacement-level fertility is marked at 2.1 children per woman. Group sizes differ sharply — descendant series in particular can jump around when the number of women is small.
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Provisional fertility nowcast
Source: National Statistical Offices or Ministries of Health / Interior · compiled by @BirthGauge. Full nowcast table · provisional, may be revised.
YTD births (4 mo) +3.4% YoY
TFR 2024
1.64
TFR 2025
1.61
TFR 2026
1.70
Births YTD (4 mo)
18.5K
Rates per 1,000 people per year — not absolute birth or death counts. When the birth rate exceeds the death rate, natural increase is positive (before migration).
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Economy
National accounts and international trade.
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Exports & imports
International trade for Serbia — product exports and imports from OEC / BACI.
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Migration
Net migration, permits, and the foreign-born population of Serbia, plus where migrants come from and where the diaspora lives.
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Largest foreign-born communities in Serbia by country of birth (2024) · arrow shows change since 2010.
Source: UN DESA International Migrant Stock 2024
Top destinations for people born in Serbia who now live abroad (2024) · arrow shows change since 2010.
Source: UN DESA International Migrant Stock 2024
Demography
Age structure, projections, and population composition.
That is 38% smaller than in 2025. The animation freezes the latest fertility rate. It is a model, not an official forecast. UN World Population Prospects 2024 medium is 3.7 million in 2100 — lower than this run (low 2.4 million, high 5.4 million). UN lets fertility change over the century and includes some migration; this run does not.
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Mortality & longevity
Life expectancy, death rates and child mortality as far back as vital registration and historical reconstructions allow (from 1960), plus infant and maternal mortality.
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Pre-1960 life expectancy and long child-mortality series are from Our World in Data (Riley, Zijdeman et al., HMD, UN). Historic crude death rates cover countries in the Human Mortality Database only — Sweden from 1751, France from 1816, and so on. Crude rates are not age-standardized.
Health, education & infrastructure
Spending, capacity and attainment. Coverage is thinner than for demographic series — most figures come from periodic surveys rather than continuous registration.
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Society, housing & beliefs
Family, crime, housing and religion indicators.
Homicide rate
1.3
Divorce rate
—
Births outside marriage
—
Home ownership
—
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Crime by ancestry, origin & race
Official statistics where published · definitions differ by country.
See the full availability guide →
Share of persons held in prison with foreign citizenship. This is not a conviction-by-ancestry series.
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Why this country’s demographics matter
Age structure, fertility gaps, and migration change budgets and electorates. This is the constraint, not a manifesto.
National fertility, age structure, and migration set the size of the next workforce and the next electorate.
- Period TFR versus replacement (~2.1) is the first number — then who is having the children, if an official split exists.
- Neighbors on the same World Bank series are the “ah, they have X children” chart.
- 2040 workers are mostly already born; TFR shows up around 2060. Who works, retirement age, and migration move 2040.
- Family policy elsewhere (France, Hungary, Korea) has not returned a high-income country to replacement in recent decades.
The longer argument — pensions, schools, coalitions, and what migration does and does not offset — is on why birthrates matter. The case for a pronatal culture as the response is on what's the solution?. To turn this country’s series into a memo you can forward, open the briefing builder — generate a draft, write it yourself, then expand any paragraph.